Two Pollsters Show Donald Trump Leading or Tied in Crucial Swing States

Vice President Kamala Harris experienced a significant boost in popularity following her acceptance of the Democratic nomination at the National Convention, where her historic candidacy and impassioned speech garnered widespread attention. However, as the initial excitement fades, Harris is facing increasing scrutiny over her policy positions, leading to a noticeable dip in public support.

Immediately after the convention, Harris enjoyed a surge in approval ratings, with many Democrats rallying behind her as the party’s standard-bearer for the 2024 presidential election. Her promises to unite the country and address critical issues like climate change, healthcare, and racial justice resonated with many voters, particularly within the Democratic base.

However, as the campaign has progressed, Harris’s policies have come under closer examination, leading some voters and political analysts to question her consistency and effectiveness. Her shifting stances on key issues such as fracking, border security, and healthcare have drawn criticism from both the left and the right, with some accusing her of political expediency rather than principled leadership.

“Kamala Harris gave a strong speech at the convention, and for a moment, it seemed like she had unified the party,” said a senior political analyst. “But as voters dig deeper into her record and her current policy positions, the enthusiasm is starting to wane. There’s a sense that she hasn’t clearly defined where she stands on some of the most pressing issues.”

One area where Harris has faced particular scrutiny is her position on healthcare. Initially a proponent of Medicare for All, she later shifted to supporting a public option, which some progressives see as a retreat from her earlier commitments. Similarly, her approach to fracking has evolved from calling for a ban to advocating a more measured transition, which has left environmental advocates dissatisfied.

Critics have also highlighted Harris’s evolving stance on immigration and border security. While she once strongly opposed the border wall, her more recent support for certain border security measures has led to accusations of inconsistency.

As a result of these criticisms, Harris’s post-convention bounce appears to be losing momentum. Polls show that her approval ratings, while still solid among Democrats, have begun to dip as undecided voters and moderates weigh her policies against those of her Republican opponent.

On Saturday, two pollsters, InsiderAdvantage and Trafalgar, released several swing state polls, revealing overwhelmingly positive results for former President Donald Trump.

Trafalgar

• Pennsylvania: Trump 47 percent/Harris 45 percent – Trump +2
• Michigan: Trump 47 percent/ Harris 47 percent – tied
• Wisconsin: Trump 47 percent/ Harris 46 percent – Trump +1

In all three polls, Trafalgar surveyed 1,080+ likely voters between August 28 and 30 with a margin of error of 2.8 percent.

InsiderAdvantage

• Arizona: Trump 49 percent/Harris 48 percent – Trump +1
• Nevada: Trump 48 percent/Harris 47 percent – Trump +1
• North Carolina: Trump 49 percent/Harris 48 percent – Trump +1
• Georgia: Trump 48 percent/Harris 48 percent – tie

In all four polls, InsiderAdvantage surveyed 800 likely voters between August 29 and 31 with a 3.5-point margin of error.

We have another poll out of Georgia that shows Trump leading by two points, 44 to 42 percent. In the previous poll, it was tied.

This poll was taken on August 28 of 699 likely voters.

What is significant about these polls is that all were taken after Kamala’s substance-free convention, after six weeks of billions and billions of dollars in free corporate media propaganda, and at least one day after Kamala’s disastrous CNN interview Thursday night.

If you look at the RealClearPolitics average poll of these state polls, in every case Trump is polling better than the average.

It might be by only a point or two, but the consistency in Trump’s stubborn lead from two separate pollsters when Kamala should be enjoying a post-convention bounce is worth pointing out.

You also have to wonder what will happen when Kamala’s disastrous CNN interview has time to filter through the polling.

Barring something unforeseen, CacklyMcNeverBorderCzar peaked after the convention, one that saw no real bounce.

All the sugar highs of announcements and conventions are over. The real campaign begins on Tuesday, so what’s Kamala going to do?

Continue to hide from the media or try again — and risk another catastrophe? She wilts under pressure, and the debate is the following week. What if this McDonald’s thing erupts in her face?

Currently, in the state and national polls, Trump is polling better than he ever did in 2016 when he won and in 2020 where we are told he only lost by about 45,000 votes in three states.

Come Tuesday morning, I’d rather be Trump than Harris.